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BizMathPro

Cash Runway Calculator

How long does your cash last? Default alive or default dead? With burn multiple and a month-by-month projection, not a single number.

Runway (flat burn)
6.7 months
Zero-cash date: February 2027
Classification
Ambiguous (no revenue signal)

Per Paul Graham (2015), "Default Alive or Default Dead?" — a company is default alive if, at its current growth rate, revenue will exceed burn before cash runs out.

Projected cash over time

View the TypeScript implementation on GitHub: packages/calc/src/cash-runway.ts · view tests

Cash runway at a glance

Key facts

The formula
Runway = current cash ÷ monthly net burn, where net burn is monthly cash out minus monthly cash in. It translates a balance-sheet snapshot into time — time to hit milestones, time to raise, time to adapt.
Default alive vs. default dead
Per Paul Graham's 2015 test: at your current growth rate, will revenue exceed burn before cash runs out? Yes means default alive — you can reach profitability on current cash. No means default dead — you must raise or cut to survive.
Burn multiple
Burn multiple = net burn ÷ net new revenue — how many dollars you burn to generate one dollar of net new revenue. Bessemer's 2021 benchmarks: under 1× is amazing, 1–2× great, 2–3× okay, 3×+ concerning, and above 5× usually means buying growth that won't pay back.
When to start raising
Begin serious fundraising at 9–12 months of runway remaining. Below 6 months is distress-signaling territory where valuation suffers; fundraising itself takes 3–6 months for most rounds.
Post-round target
Lead investors want 18–24 months of runway post-round — enough to hit the milestones that justify the next round, with real distance between raises.

Classification per Paul Graham, Default Alive or Default Dead? (2015); burn-multiple tiers per Bessemer Venture Partners, State of the Cloud (2021). Updated April 2026.

What this means

Runway is a time budget. It tells you how long you have to execute before you either turn the business profitable or go back for more capital. The most useful number is rarely the flat runway — it's the distance between today and your next fundraising milestone, and whether you can hit that milestone with the time you have.

Byron Malone, founder of Bedrocka Tools and 15-year operator advisor: “Default alive isn’t a victory condition; it’s the starting line. Your job is to protect that status while accelerating growth, not relax once you’ve crossed it.” The market can turn and a 10% growth rate can become a 2% growth rate fast, flipping you into default dead without any single decision causing it. If you’re default dead, you have two levers: raise or cut. The worst outcome is doing neither and watching the runway tick down until it dictates the answer for you.

One pattern I’ve seen again and again advising early-stage operators: the runway figure that predicts survival isn’t the headline month count — it’s the slope of net burn. Two companies can show the same nine months of cash, and the one whose monthly burn is shrinking reaches default-alive while the one whose burn is climbing stalls. Track the trend line, not just the balance.

Worked example

$500K cash, $75K burn, $40K monthly revenue growing 8% month-over-month. Flat net burn = $35K/month, so flat runway is about 14.3 months. With growth, revenue crosses burn around month 9 and you become profitable before running out of cash — default alive. Burn multiple = ($75K − $40K) ÷ ($40K × 8%) = 10.9×, which is concerning despite the default-alive status — you're burning a lot to generate each marginal revenue dollar, and if growth dips below 6% you flip to default dead. The classification is binary; the burn multiple tells you how comfortable that classification is.

Frequently asked questions

See methodology — how this tool is built and reviewed.

By Last verified

Founder & Editor, Bedrocka Tools

The information and tools on this website are for general educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Consult a licensed professional for decisions specific to your situation.